Wednesday, September 26, 2012

Talkin' 'Bout Trades 2012: Vol. 2

Texans RB Ben Tate
The second trade of the 2012 season took place last Wednesday afternoon. Let's see what went down.
Panthers WR Brandon LaFell

Buccaneers RB Doug Martin
Choppa (Lee) traded RB Doug Martin to Tom's Brady Bunch (formerly Garçon Means Boy, Matt Roberts) for WR Brandon LaFell and RB Ben Tate last Wednesday, September 20.

Who Gets What?

Choppa gets two players in this deal, Texans RB Ben Tate and Panthers WR Brandon LaFell (dropping Seattle RB Robert Turbin to clear an extra roster spot). Tate is the #2 RB in a Texans' offense that is 5th in the league in rushing (150.7 yards per game). And although Arian Foster is the main man in OC Rick Dennison's offensive plan, Choppa has landed himself a low-end RB2/FLEX option in fantasy who garners one-third the times the amount of carries and yards as Foster, but half the number of TDs (Foster 4, Tate 2), although they both came in the game prior to Tate being traded to Choppa. Brandon LaFell is a WR who has a lot of upside, hence the fantasy buzz. So far this season, he has posted point totals of 12.5, 11.5, and 2.7 (the first week Choppa started him). Despite the poor production in Week 3, many are still high on the #2 WR for Carolina, who has the potential to exceed his current WR3 fantasy status.

Tom's Brady Bunch picks up a quality starter in Doug Martin, as the Bucs' RB is off to a solid start to his rookie campaign, posting point totals of 11.8, 12.6, and 7.4 to start the season. There was a lot of hype coming into the 2012 season about the the former Boise State Bronco with the Ray Rice-like playing style, and he has lived up to it to this point. Some were concerned about the possibility that he would be splitting backfield duties with LeGarrette Blount. So far, however, Martin is the clear #1 Back in Tampa, carrying the pigskin 63 times through three contests to Blount's meager seven.

Final Analysis

Choppa's RB committee (now Trent Richardson and Ben Tate) has suffered a bit of a downgrade with this addition. Although his WRs have been improved slightly, I don't believe his team was improved overall by this move. If, however, LaFell develops some kind of consistent chemistry with QB Cam Newton (who was awful in LaFell's debut for Choppa and who has a lot of growing up to do), and/or Ben Tate receives a greater role in the Houston offense via injury (possible) or coaching decision (not likely), this move could end up helping Choppa more than I'm willing to concede at this point.

Addressing a definite need at the RB position (see CJ401K's stellar start to his 2012 campaign), Tom's Brady Bunch has turned a low-end RB2/Flex player (Tate) and an intriguing yet unproven WR (LaFell) into a strong RB2 in Martin, who has the potential to become an RB1 somewhere down the line. Already receiver-rich, Tom's Brady Bunch has become richer at the RB position.

Verdict: Tom's Brady Bunch definitely got the better of this deal with Choppa. When you trade away a starting RB who, as a rookie, is receiving 84% of the carries among all RBs on his team and is solidifying him role as the go-to guy, you better be sure you're getting back equal value. I'm not sure it happened here.

What are your thoughts out there?

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